GRANULAR CREDIT RISK

GRANULAR CREDIT RISK

发布人:韦芳三
主题
GRANULAR CREDIT RISK
活动时间
-
活动地址
伍舜德图书馆501
主讲人
梁子昊 博士研究生
主持人
王曦 导师

Abstract: What is the impact of granular credit risk on banks and the economy? We quantify single-name exposure risk in bank portfolios by applying a novel empirical strategy to an administrative loanlevel dataset from Norway. Exploiting the fat-tailed properties of the loan-share distribution, we use the granular instrumental variable approach to show that idiosyncratic borrower risk survives aggregation within banks’ portfolios. These granular credit shocks spill over from affected banks to firms, reducing investment and raising default risk among non-granular borrowers, with sizeable consequences for the real economy.